Part of Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?

Rank #11473·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
0.3%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$5,809.68
Liquidity
$1,943.78
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.25%
Spread
0.10% (4000bps)
Depth
$1.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
June 30
6.2%Trade
December 31
0.3%Trade

Resolution Rules

If Jia Yueting enters mainland China by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, "entering mainland China" is defined as Jia Yueting physically setting foot within the territory of the People’s Republic of China, excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan. Travel through airspace or territorial waters during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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