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Part of FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Aug 18, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
54.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 72.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$165.14
Liquidity
$97.64
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
55%

Market Microstructure

Mid
28%
Spread
53.00% (19273bps)
Depth
$98
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Aug 18, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Bob Rommel
43.8%Trade
Jim Oberweis
27.5%Trade
Spencer Roach
12.5%Trade
Catalina Lauf
11.0%Trade
Madison Cawthorn
7.9%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade
Candidate H
-Trade
Candidate J
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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