Part of Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Will Jimmy Parker advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
3.1%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.4% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$408.09
Liquidity
$4,551.01
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
5%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.6%
Spread
1.00% (3846bps)
Depth
$4.6k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 2, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Eric Swalwell
56.5%Trade
Chad Bianco
29.5%Trade
Antonio Villaraigosa
11.0%Trade
Xavier Becerra
10.0%Trade
Ian Calderon
6.5%Trade
Brandon Jones
5.5%Trade
David Serpa
5.0%Trade
Derek Grasty
4.5%Trade
Thunder Parley
4.5%Trade
Butch Ware
4.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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