Part of ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 9, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
50.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 72.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$25.00
Liquidity
$32.61
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
56%

Market Microstructure

Mid
28%
Spread
44.00% (15714bps)
Depth
$33
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 9, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Matthew Dunlap
58.5%Trade
Joe Baldacci
28.0%Trade
Jared Golden
25.5%Trade
Jordan Wood
22.0%Trade
Candidate J
-Trade
Candidate L
-Trade
Candidate N
-Trade
another candidate
-Trade
Candidate I
-Trade
Candidate K
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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