Part of Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Q: Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?

Current market consensus shows a 23% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist

Resolves May 19, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

23.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 82.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$45.00

Liquidity

$15.38

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

35%

Market Microstructure

Mid

18%

Spread

11.00% (6286bps)

Depth

$15

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

May 19, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Tim Skelton	44.5%	Trade
Douglas T. Muck Jr	42.5%	Trade
Joe Johnson	17.5%	Trade
another person	-	Trade
Person C	-	Trade
Person E	-	Trade
Person J	-	Trade
Person P	-	Trade
Person U	-	Trade
Person D	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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