Part of Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will John Berman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Q: Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will John Berman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Current market consensus shows a 14% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jun 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

13.9%0.0% (24h)

NO: 92.6%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$42.67

Liquidity

$47.05

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

15%

Market Microstructure

Mid

7.4%

Spread

13.00% (17568bps)

Depth

$47

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 2, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Ashley Hinson	84.0%	Trade
John Berman	7.4%	Trade
Jim Carlin	7.3%	Trade
Joshua Smith	5.4%	Trade
Person B	-	Trade
Person D	-	Trade
Person F	-	Trade
Person H	-	Trade
Person J	-	Trade
Person L	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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