Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.3%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$12,190.45
Liquidity
$1,030.43
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
2%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
0.75%
Spread
0.30% (4000bps)
Depth
$1.0k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
 polymarket | - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Fetterman leaves the Democratic Party by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes switching to the Republican Party, registering as an Independent, or affiliating with any other political party. An official announcement from Fetterman stating that he is leaving the Democratic Party or will no longer caucus with the Democrats will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.
The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from John Fetterman or a change in his registration in government records. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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