Part of NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick

Will John Mateer be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Q: NFL Draft 2026: First Overall Pick - Will John Mateer be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Current market consensus shows a 10% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Apr 25, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowSports

Current YES Probability

9.9%0.0% (24h)

NO: 95.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$65.00

Liquidity

$2,837.53

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

10%

Market Microstructure

Mid

5.1%

Spread

9.70% (19208bps)

Depth

$2.8k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Apr 25, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Garrett Nussmeier	9.7%	Trade
Rueben Bain Jr	9.7%	Trade
Jayden Maiava	8.6%	Trade
Ty Simpson	8.6%	Trade
John Mateer	5.1%	Trade
LaNorris Sellers	1.7%	Trade
Sam Leavitt	1.4%	Trade
Miller Moss	1.3%	Trade
Caleb Downs	1.3%	Trade
Arch Manning	1.1%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trending in Sports

Spurs vs. Thunder

+0.0%

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

+0.0%

Rockets vs. Lakers

+0.0%