Part of Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Rank #12066·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves May 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
10.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$45.00
Liquidity
$293.64
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
15%

Market Microstructure

Mid
7.5%
Spread
5.00% (6667bps)
Depth
$294
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
May 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Paloma Valencia
16.0%Trade
Juan Carlos Pinzón
7.5%Trade
Gustavo Bolívar
6.5%Trade
Vicky Dávila
6.0%Trade
Luis Gilberto Murillo
5.5%Trade
Claudia López
5.5%Trade
Sergio Fajardo
5.5%Trade
Germán Vargas Lleras
5.5%Trade
David Luna Sánchez
5.0%Trade
Juan Manuel Galán
5.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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