Part of Golden Globes: Best Actor – Limited Series Winner
Will Jude Law (Black Rabbit) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jan 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
3.4%0.0% (24h)
NO: 98.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$231.33
Liquidity
$2,138.83
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
4%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
1.9%
Spread
2.90% (14872bps)
Depth
$2.1k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 11, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Stephen Graham (Adolescence) | 65.5% | Trade |
Charlie Hunnam (Monster The Ed Gein Story) | 17.5% | Trade |
Matthew Rhys (The Beast In Me) | 13.5% | Trade |
Paul Giamatti (Black Mirror) | 10.2% | Trade |
Jacob Elordi (The Narrow Road to the Deep North) | 8.8% | Trade |
Jude Law (Black Rabbit) | 1.9% | Trade |
Brian Tyree Henry (Dope Thief) | - | Trade |
Jason Bateman (Black Rabbit) | - | Trade |
Michael Shannon (Death by Lightning) | - | Trade |
Mark Ruffalo (Task) | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trending in General
#1
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
+0.0%
#2
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
+0.0%
#3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
+0.0%