Part of Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Julia Coleman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Q: Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Julia Coleman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Current market consensus shows a 28% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Aug 11, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

28.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 85.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$112.38

Liquidity

$408.50

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

29%

Market Microstructure

Mid

15%

Spread

27.00% (18621bps)

Depth

$409

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Royce White	42.0%	Trade
Julia Coleman	14.5%	Trade
Kristin Robbins	12.5%	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade
Candidate E	-	Trade
Candidate G	-	Trade
Candidate I	-	Trade
Candidate K	-	Trade
Candidate M	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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