Part of Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jun 2, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
62.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 41.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$3,430.28
Liquidity
$2,677.15
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
83%

Market Microstructure

Mid
59%
Spread
7.00% (1197bps)
Depth
$2.7k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jun 2, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Karen Bass
58.5%Trade
Rick Caruso
24.0%Trade
Asaad Alnajjar
11.1%Trade
Gina Viola
1.9%Trade
another candidate
-Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade
Candidate H
-Trade
Candidate J
-Trade

Resolution Rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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