Part of Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Aug 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
12.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 90.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,041.09
Liquidity
$1,824.22
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
20%

Market Microstructure

Mid
10%
Spread
4.00% (4000bps)
Depth
$1.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Aug 4, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Andy Biggs
76.5%Trade
Karrin Taylor Robson
10.0%Trade
David Schweikert
8.5%Trade
another candidate
-Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade
Candidate H
-Trade
Candidate J
-Trade
Candidate L
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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