Part of Who will leave Trump Administration in 2025?

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Rank #3963·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
2.3%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.9% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$189,708.90
Liquidity
$4,831.29
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
4%

Market Microstructure

Mid
2.1%
Spread
0.40% (1905bps)
Depth
$4.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Kash Patel
2.1%Trade
Pam Bondi
1.9%Trade
Lee Zeldin
1.0%Trade
Pete Hegseth
0.9%Trade
Karoline Leavitt
0.8%Trade
Robert F. Kennedy Jr
0.7%Trade
Scott Bessent
0.5%Trade
Howard Lutnick
0.4%Trade
Marco Rubio
0.4%Trade
Tulsi Gabbard
0.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
+0.0%