Part of IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 17, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
48.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 59.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$196.42
Liquidity
$50.46
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
81%

Market Microstructure

Mid
41%
Spread
15.00% (3704bps)
Depth
$50
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Daniel Biss
42.0%Trade
Kate Abughazaleh
40.5%Trade
Laura Fine
31.0%Trade
Jan Schakowsky
5.3%Trade
Candidate B
-Trade
Candidate D
-Trade
Candidate F
-Trade
Candidate H
-Trade
Candidate J
-Trade
Candidate L
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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