Part of 2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
40.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 66.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$2,712.73
Liquidity
$1,327.17
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
68%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
34%
Spread
12.00% (3529bps)
Depth
$1.3k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas | 40.0% | Trade |
Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas | 34.0% | Trade |
Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas | 15.9% | Trade |
Beth Van Duyne come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas | 0.3% | Trade |
Dawn Buckingham come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas | 0.1% | Trade |
Person B come in 2nd in the 2026 | - | Trade |
Person D come in 2nd in the 2026 | - | Trade |
Person F come in 2nd in the 2026 | - | Trade |
Person H come in 2nd in the 2026 | - | Trade |
Person J come in 2nd in the 2026 | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the second-most votes in the first round of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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