Part of Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Q: Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Current market consensus shows a 23% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Jun 16, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

23.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 84.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$263.25

Liquidity

$2,086.20

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

31%

Market Microstructure

Mid

16%

Spread

15.00% (9677bps)

Depth

$2.1k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jun 16, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Bryce Reeves	49.0%	Trade
Kim Farington	42.0%	Trade
Bryce Reeves	39.0%	Trade
Kim Farington	15.5%	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade
Candidate E	-	Trade
Candidate G	-	Trade
Candidate I	-	Trade
Candidate K	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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