Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowCrypto
Current YES Probability
0.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.4% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$28,642.19
Liquidity
$1,225.77
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
1%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.60%
Spread
0.40% (6667bps)
Depth
$1.2k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Crypto
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart set to “MTD.” Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.

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