Part of What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Will Leavitt say "Marijuana" or "Weed" during the next White House press briefing?
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
45.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 68.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$3,172.00
Liquidity
$48.48
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
63%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
32%
Spread
27.00% (8571bps)
Depth
$48
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
"Epstein" or "Hoax" | 83.5% | Trade |
"International Criminal Court" or "ICC" | 68.0% | Trade |
"Supreme Court" | 62.0% | Trade |
"President" 69+ times | 61.5% | Trade |
"Pam" or "Bondi" | 58.0% | Trade |
"Minnesota" or "Walz" | 56.0% | Trade |
"Merry Christmas" | 54.5% | Trade |
"Obamacare" | 54.5% | Trade |
"Home" or "Country" 17+ times | 51.0% | Trade |
"More" or "Again" 22+ times | 50.5% | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karoline Leavitt says the listed term during the next White House press briefing she participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market.
If no such press briefing happens by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Leavitt ceases to be White House press secretary for any length of time by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers exclusively to regular White House press briefings titled "Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt" as found on the President's Public Schedule (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing with this title on the linked schedule will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings with a different title description such as those including extra guests will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
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