Part of Which country will join Abraham Accords in 2025?

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Q: Which country will join Abraham Accords in 2025? - Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Current market consensus shows a 0% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jan 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

0.3%0.0% (24h)

NO: 99.8%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$30,287.97

Liquidity

$2,712.09

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

0.25%

Spread

0.10% (4000bps)

Depth

$2.7k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 1, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Will Indonesia	5.4%	Trade
Will Azerbaijan	2.1%	Trade
Will Oman	1.5%	Trade
Will Saudi Arabia	0.9%	Trade
Will Syria	0.7%	Trade
Will Kuwait	0.4%	Trade
Will Lebanon	0.3%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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