Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Q: Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Current market consensus shows a 34% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves — BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

33.5%0.0% (24h)

NO: 66.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Last 24h trend

Volume (Period)

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Total Volume

$196.62

Liquidity

$198.32

Thin

Volatility

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Confidence (R²)

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Market Info

Resolution Date

TBD

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

SentimentNeutral

YES / NO Ratio

-%/-%

Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-

Retail Sentiment-

Maker/Taker Bias-

Community Sentiment

0 votes

BearishNeutralBullish

Markets Across Platforms

Platform	Yes	No	Action
polymarket	-	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trending in General

No trending events found.