Part of Rhineland-Palatinate Parliamentary Election Winner

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Rank #11093·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 22, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
0.2%0.0% (24h)
NO: 99.9% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$1,799.23
Liquidity
$2,309.59
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
0%

Market Microstructure

Mid
0.15%
Spread
0.10% (6667bps)
Depth
$2.3k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 22, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will CDU
75.5%Trade
Will AfD
13.5%Trade
Will SPD
12.0%Trade
Will Grüne
0.3%Trade
Will FW
0.3%Trade
Will BSW
0.3%Trade
Will FDP
0.3%Trade
Will Linke
0.1%Trade
Will Party A
-Trade
Will Party C
-Trade

Resolution Rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate are scheduled to take place in Rhineland-Palatinate on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)

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