Part of Illinois Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Lloyd Jones be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Q: Illinois Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Lloyd Jones be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?

Current market consensus shows a 9% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Mar 17, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

9.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 95.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$57.12

Liquidity

$150.28

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

10%

Market Microstructure

Mid

5.0%

Spread

8.00% (16000bps)

Depth

$150

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 17, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Don Tracy	50.0%	Trade
Casey Chlebek	9.3%	Trade
Doug Bennett	5.8%	Trade
Panagioti Bartzis	5.7%	Trade
Pamela Denise Long	5.3%	Trade
Lloyd Jones	5.0%	Trade
R. Cary Capparelli	5.0%	Trade
Jimmy Lee Tillman II	4.8%	Trade
John Goodman	3.8%	Trade
Januario Ortega	3.3%	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Illinois. If no 2026 Illinois Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trending in Politics

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

+0.0%

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

+0.0%

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

+0.0%