Part of Portugal Presidency

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portuguese presidential election?

Rank #9747·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Feb 15, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
71.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 32.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$18,545.20
Liquidity
$5,263.30
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
58%

Market Microstructure

Mid
70%
Spread
3.00% (432bps)
Open Interest
10,220 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 15, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Luís Marques Mendes
71.0%Trade
Henrique Gouveia e Melo
16.0%Trade
António José Seguro
8.0%Trade
João Cotrim Figueiredo
7.0%Trade
André Ventura
7.0%Trade
Tim Vieira
1.0%Trade
Rui Moreira
1.0%Trade
Catarina Martins
1.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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