Part of Portugal presidential election first round winner?

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election?

Rank #9355·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Jan 18, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
30.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 71.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$442.80
Liquidity
$730.74
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
60%

Market Microstructure

Mid
30%
Spread
1.00% (339bps)
Open Interest
1,447 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 18, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
André Ventura
55.0%Trade
Luís Marques Mendes
30.0%Trade
Henrique Gouveia e Melo
8.0%Trade
António José Seguro
8.0%Trade
João Cotrim Figueiredo
7.0%Trade
Catarina Martins
2.0%Trade
António Filipe
2.0%Trade
Tim Vieira
1.0%Trade
Rui Moreira
1.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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