Part of Brazil Presidency

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Rank #7262·0 on watchlist
kalshi
Resolves Oct 25, 2027 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
49.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 55.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$15,129.24
Liquidity
$7,445.36
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
98%

Market Microstructure

Mid
47%
Spread
4.00% (851bps)
Open Interest
14,318 contracts
Tick Size
1.0%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Oct 25, 2027
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
49.0%Trade
Flávio Bolsonaro
23.0%Trade
Tarcisio de Frietas
20.0%Trade
Ratinho Júnior
11.0%Trade
Renan Santos
7.0%Trade
Fernando Haddad
5.0%Trade
Michelle Bolsonaro
3.0%Trade
Jair Bolsonaro
3.0%Trade
Eduardo Bolsonaro
3.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

No specific rules provided.

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