Part of Grammys: Song of the Year Winner
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Rank #10856·0 on watchlist
Resolves Feb 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
24.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 77.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$5,131.63
Liquidity
$4,491.22
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
45%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
22%
Spread
3.00% (1333bps)
Depth
$4.5k
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Feb 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | Action |
|---|---|---|
Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) | 51.4% | Trade |
Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) | 22.5% | Trade |
DTMF (Bad Bunny) | 8.7% | Trade |
Wildflower (Billie Eilish) | 7.2% | Trade |
Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) | 6.5% | Trade |
APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) | 4.5% | Trade |
Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) | 2.9% | Trade |
Anxiety (Doechii) | 1.7% | Trade |
Ordinary (Alex Warren) | - | Trade |
BMF (SZA) | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed song that comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
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