Part of NJ-11 Special Election Democratic Primary Winner

Will Marc Chaaban be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 5, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
5.7%0.0% (24h)
NO: 97.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$110.49
Liquidity
$784.03
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
6%

Market Microstructure

Mid
3.0%
Spread
5.40% (18000bps)
Depth
$784
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 5, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Tom Malinowski
58.0%Trade
Brendan Gill
28.5%Trade
Analilia Mejia
14.0%Trade
John Bartlett
5.7%Trade
Cammie Croft
5.3%Trade
Anna Lee Williams
4.9%Trade
Zach Beecher
4.9%Trade
Tahesha Way
3.4%Trade
Marc Chaaban
3.0%Trade
Dean Dafis
2.6%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 special election, scheduled for April 16, 2026. The Democratic primary will take place on February 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Trending in Politics

#1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
+0.0%
#2
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
+0.0%
#3
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.0%