Part of Which soccer players will sign with new clubs in winter window?

Will Marc Guehi sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
55.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 61.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$175.00
Liquidity
$640.80
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
77%

Market Microstructure

Mid
39%
Spread
33.00% (8571bps)
Depth
$641
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 3, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Niclas Füllkrug
99.8%Trade
Antoine Semenyo
96.2%Trade
Sergio Ramos
80.0%Trade
Rúben Neves
74.0%Trade
Timo Werner
70.0%Trade
Joshua Zirkzee
53.5%Trade
James Ward-Prowse
52.0%Trade
Mathys Tel
50.0%Trade
Conor Gallagher
50.0%Trade
Adama Traore
49.5%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player signs with a new club between market issuance and February 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any transfer, loan, loan extensions, or a free agent signing of a player that did not play for the club in the most recent season will qualify. Transfers between a club’s senior and reserve or youth teams, as well as free agents re-signing with the team they most recently played for, will not count. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the clubs involved, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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