Part of NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves May 12, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
63.9%0.0% (24h)
NO: 67.8% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$113.20
Liquidity
$189.42
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
65%

Market Microstructure

Mid
32%
Spread
63.30% (19628bps)
Depth
$189
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
May 12, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
John Cavanaugh
49.5%Trade
Denise Powell
47.5%Trade
Mark Johnston
32.3%Trade
Evangelos Argyrakis
14.4%Trade
Candidate A
-Trade
Candidate C
-Trade
Candidate E
-Trade
Candidate G
-Trade
Candidate I
-Trade
Candidate K
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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