Part of North Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Mark Robinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina?

Q: North Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Mark Robinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in North Carolina?

Current market consensus shows a 6% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14645·0 on watchlist

Resolves Mar 3, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

5.9%0.0% (24h)

NO: 96.6%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$15.00

Liquidity

$329.46

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

3.4%

Spread

5.00% (14706bps)

Depth

$329

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 3, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Michael Whatley	91.0%	Trade
Mark Robinson	3.4%	Trade
Pat Harrigan	3.4%	Trade
Michele Morrow	3.4%	Trade
Lara Trump	2.0%	Trade
Thomas Tillis	0.7%	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade
Candidate E	-	Trade
Candidate G	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina. If no 2026 North Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". This market includes any potential runoff election. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the North Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trending in Politics

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

+0.0%

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

+0.0%

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

+0.0%