Part of Melodifestivalen 2026 Winner

Will Medina win Melodifestivalen 2026?

Rank #14626·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 7, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
19.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 89.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$3,863.32
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
22%

Market Microstructure

Mid
11%
Spread
16.00% (14545bps)
Depth
$3.9k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 7, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Greczula
14.5%Trade
Smash Into Pieces
13.0%Trade
Medina
11.0%Trade
A*Teens
11.0%Trade
Robin Bengtsson
11.0%Trade
Felicia
10.5%Trade
AleXa
9.5%Trade
Cimberly
8.0%Trade
Sanna Nielsen
4.0%Trade
Jacqline
4.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Melodifestivalen 2026, who will represent Sweden in the 2026 Eurovision song contest. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Melodifestivalen 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Melodifestivalen rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Melodifastivalen (https://eurovisionworld.com/national/sweden/melodifestivalen-2026), including live footage of Melodifestivalen 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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