Part of Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Will Meituan have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
10.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$140.00
Liquidity
$903.47
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
12%

Market Microstructure

Mid
6.0%
Spread
8.00% (13333bps)
Depth
$903
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Mar 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Will OpenAI
37.0%Trade
Will Google
35.5%Trade
Will Anthropic
21.5%Trade
Will xAI
16.7%Trade
Will DeepSeek
15.0%Trade
Will Meituan
6.0%Trade
Will Z.ai
4.9%Trade
Will Alibaba
4.5%Trade
Will Moonshot
3.4%Trade
Will Mistral
3.4%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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