Part of IL-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
Rank #14647·0 on watchlist
Resolves Mar 17, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
8.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 95.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$51.25
Liquidity
$132.92
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
9%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
4.5%
Spread
7.00% (15556bps)
Depth
$133
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Mar 17, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 17, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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