Part of Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Rank #12968·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jun 30, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech
Current YES Probability
11.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 92.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$94.84
Liquidity
$685.63
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
16%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
8.0%
Spread
6.00% (7500bps)
Depth
$686
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 30, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Science & Tech
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
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