Part of NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
Resolves Jun 23, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
40.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 77.0%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
—
Total Volume
$115.53
Liquidity
$280.12
Thin
Volatility
—
Market Split
46%
Market Microstructure
Real-time order book metrics. Depth shows available USD liquidity. Open Interest represents outstanding contracts.
Mid
23%
Spread
34.00% (14783bps)
Depth
$280
Tick Size
0.10%
Market Info
Resolution Date
Jun 23, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
Event Outcomes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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