Part of Who will Trump appoint as next National Security Advisor?

Will Michael Flynn be next National Security Advisor?

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
9.8%0.0% (24h)
NO: 94.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$34,369.56
Liquidity
$4,793.42
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
11%

Market Microstructure

Mid
5.5%
Spread
8.50% (15315bps)
Depth
$4.8k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
Fred Fleitz
22.1%Trade
Robert O'Brien
13.1%Trade
Steve Witkoff
10.0%Trade
Michael Anton
8.8%Trade
Michael Flynn
5.5%Trade
Keith Kellogg
2.8%Trade
Stephen Miller
2.6%Trade
Ezra Cohen
0.5%Trade
Person E
-Trade
Person F
-Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the next person Donald Trump appoints to the National Security Advisor position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on Trump's first announcement - if Trump announces another person to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market refers to the first permanent National Security Advisor following Mike Waltz's departure from the role; any acting advisor or otherwise temporary advisor will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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