Part of Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Q: Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner - Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Current market consensus shows a 10% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #14866·0 on watchlist

Resolves Aug 4, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

10.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 91.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$49.79

Liquidity

$1,548.24

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

18%

Market Microstructure

Mid

9.0%

Spread

2.00% (2222bps)

Depth

$1.5k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Aug 4, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Christy Davis	79.0%	Trade
Christy Davis	47.5%	Trade
Anne Parelkar	20.0%	Trade
Anne Parelkar	16.0%	Trade
Sandy Spidel Neumann	12.0%	Trade
Michael Soetaert	9.0%	Trade
Sandy Spidel Neumann	0.7%	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade
Candidate E	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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