Part of Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner

Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?

Q: Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner - Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?

Current market consensus shows a 12% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #15128·0 on watchlist

Resolves Aug 18, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics

Current YES Probability

12.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 93.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$25.00

Liquidity

$365.89

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

13%

Market Microstructure

Mid

6.5%

Spread

11.00% (16923bps)

Depth

$366

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Ashley B. Moody	80.0%	Trade
Michaelangelo Hamilton	6.5%	Trade
Jake Lang	3.4%	Trade
A.C. Toulme	3.3%	Trade
Candidate A	-	Trade
Candidate C	-	Trade
Candidate E	-	Trade
Candidate G	-	Trade
Candidate I	-	Trade
Candidate K	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Trending in Politics

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

+0.0%

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

+0.0%

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

+0.0%