Part of Largest Company end of December 2026?

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Q: Largest Company end of December 2026? - Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Current market consensus shows a 11% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Dec 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowEconomics

Current YES Probability

11.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 91.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$10,589.87

Liquidity

$60,306.25

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

17%

Market Microstructure

Mid

8.5%

Spread

5.00% (5882bps)

Depth

$60.3k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
NVIDIA	42.0%	Trade
Alphabet	31.0%	Trade
Apple	15.0%	Trade
Microsoft	8.5%	Trade
Tesla	4.2%	Trade
Amazon	2.1%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	0.9%	Trade
Company G	-	Trade
Company D	-	Trade
Company E	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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