Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Q: Largest Company end of January? - Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Current market consensus shows a 0% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

0.3%0.0% (24h)

NO: 99.8%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$19,479.66

Liquidity

$19,500.60

Moderate

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

0.25%

Spread

0.10% (4000bps)

Depth

$19.5k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
NVIDIA	91.0%	Trade
Apple	5.5%	Trade
Alphabet	3.5%	Trade
Microsoft	0.3%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	0.2%	Trade
Tesla	0.1%	Trade
Amazon	0.1%	Trade
Company A	-	Trade
Company B	-	Trade
Company C	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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