Part of 2nd Largest company end of January?

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Q: 2nd Largest company end of January? - Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Current market consensus shows a 2% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

1.8%0.0% (24h)

NO: 98.8%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$5,825.59

Liquidity

$7,064.07

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

1.2%

Spread

1.20% (10000bps)

Depth

$7.1k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Apple	86.5%	Trade
Alphabet	7.8%	Trade
NVIDIA	4.5%	Trade
Microsoft	1.2%	Trade
Amazon	0.4%	Trade
Tesla	0.4%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	0.3%	Trade
Company B	-	Trade
Company F	-	Trade
Company G	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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