Part of 2nd largest company end of March?

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Q: 2nd largest company end of March? - Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Current market consensus shows a 70% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

70.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 63.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$868.83

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

73%

Market Microstructure

Mid

37%

Spread

67.00% (18356bps)

Depth

$869

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Apple	50.0%	Trade
Microsoft	36.5%	Trade
Alphabet	36.5%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	34.5%	Trade
Amazon	26.0%	Trade
Tesla	25.0%	Trade
NVIDIA	17.5%	Trade
Company A	-	Trade
Company C	-	Trade
Company E	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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