Part of 3rd Largest company end of 2025?

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Q: 3rd Largest company end of 2025? - Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Current market consensus shows a 2% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Rank #7630·0 on watchlist

Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowScience & Tech

Current YES Probability

1.7%0.0% (24h)

NO: 98.7%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$122,508.73

Liquidity

$9,181.11

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

Market Microstructure

Mid

1.3%

Spread

0.80% (6154bps)

Depth

$9.2k

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Dec 31, 2025

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Alphabet	97.1%	Trade
Apple	1.6%	Trade
Microsoft	1.3%	Trade
NVIDIA	0.3%	Trade
Tesla	0.1%	Trade
Amazon	0.1%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	0.1%	Trade
Oracle	0.1%	Trade
Company A	-	Trade
Company C	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trending in Science & Tech

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

+0.0%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

+0.0%

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?

+0.0%