Part of 3rd largest company end of January?

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Q: 3rd largest company end of January? - Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Current market consensus shows a 33% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

33.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 80.5%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$907.19

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

39%

Market Microstructure

Mid

20%

Spread

27.00% (13846bps)

Depth

$907

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Jan 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Alphabet	66.5%	Trade
Microsoft	19.5%	Trade
Apple	15.5%	Trade
Tesla	14.5%	Trade
NVIDIA	14.0%	Trade
Amazon	5.5%	Trade
Oracle	5.0%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	1.1%	Trade
Company A	-	Trade
Company D	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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