Part of 3rd largest company end of March?

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Q: 3rd largest company end of March? - Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Current market consensus shows a 13% probability of YES based on prediction market data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.

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Resolves Mar 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral

Current YES Probability

13.0%0.0% (24h)

NO: 91.0%• Updated just now

Analysis...

Volume (24h)

—

Total Volume

$5.00

Liquidity

$359.24

Thin

Volatility

—

Market Split

18%

Market Microstructure

Mid

9.0%

Spread

8.00% (8889bps)

Depth

$359

Tick Size

0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date

Mar 31, 2026

Resolution Source

Platform Decision

Event Outcomes

Outcome	Probability	Action
Alphabet	53.0%	Trade
Amazon	31.5%	Trade
Oracle	15.5%	Trade
Microsoft	9.0%	Trade
Apple	8.0%	Trade
NVIDIA	7.0%	Trade
Tesla	6.5%	Trade
Saudi Aramco	6.5%	Trade
Company A	-	Trade
Company B	-	Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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