Part of What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in January 2026?

Will Microsoft dip to $480 in January?

Rank #14708·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Feb 1, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
96.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 50.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$10.97
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
100%

Market Microstructure

Mid
50%
Spread
92.00% (18400bps)
Depth
$11
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Feb 1, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
reach $608
51.0%Trade
reach $548
51.0%Trade
reach $645
50.5%Trade
reach $578
50.5%Trade
reach $525
50.5%Trade
dip to $450
50.5%Trade
dip to $405
50.5%Trade
dip to $375
50.5%Trade
dip to $338
50.5%Trade
dip to $480
50.0%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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