Part of Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of December?

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of December?

Rank #10155·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Dec 31, 2025 BinaryUpdated just nowGeneral
Current YES Probability
30.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 72.0% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$2,238.25
Liquidity
$2,136.34
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
56%

Market Microstructure

Mid
28%
Spread
4.00% (1429bps)
Depth
$2.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
General
No chart data available.

Event Outcomes

OutcomeProbabilityAction
close above $405
99.3%Trade
close above $390
99.2%Trade
close above $420
98.8%Trade
close above $435
98.5%Trade
close above $465
94.8%Trade
close above $450
92.8%Trade
close above $480
75.5%Trade
close above $495
28.0%Trade
close above $510
3.8%Trade
close above $525
0.9%Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of December 2025 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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