Current YES Probability
40.5%0.0% (24h)
NO: 59.5%• Updated just now
Analysis...
Last 24h trend
Volume (Period)
—
Total Volume
—
Liquidity
$210.12
Thin
Volatility
—
Confidence (R²)
—
Market Info
Resolution Date
TBD
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.
SentimentNeutral
YES / NO Ratio
-%/-%
Market Skew(0.0% 24h)-
Retail Sentiment-
Maker/Taker Bias-
Community Sentiment
0 votesBearishNeutralBullish
Markets Across Platforms
| Platform | Yes | No | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | Trade |
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Janet Mills and Graham Platner, Janet Mills becomes the favorite in the "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner?) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Janet Mills will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if she is ahead of Graham Platner in more individual minutes than Graham Platner is ahead of Janet Mills during a qualifying time period.
A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-mills-flip-platner-for-maine-dem-senate-primary-winner-by-january-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Trending in Politics
No trending events found.

