Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?

Rank #4151·0 on watchlist
polymarket
Resolves Jan 31, 2026 BinaryUpdated just nowPolitics
Current YES Probability
33.0%0.0% (24h)
NO: 69.5% Updated just now
Analysis...
Volume (24h)
Total Volume
$13,271.09
Liquidity
$1,063.66
Thin
Volatility
Market Split
61%

Market Microstructure

Mid
31%
Spread
5.00% (1639bps)
Depth
$1.1k
Tick Size
0.10%

Market Info

Resolution Date
Jan 31, 2026
Resolution Source
Platform Decision
Category
Politics
No chart data available.

Markets Across Platforms

PlatformYesNoAction
polymarket--Trade

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Janet Mills and Graham Platner, Janet Mills becomes the favorite in the "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/maine-democratic-senate-primary-winner?) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Janet Mills will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if she is ahead of Graham Platner in more individual minutes than Graham Platner is ahead of Janet Mills during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-mills-flip-platner-for-maine-dem-senate-primary-winner-by-january-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

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